F.L.G. 2026 NFL Mock Draft

Welcome to the 2026 edition of my annual Fantasy Law Guy NFL Mock Draft!

Last year’s version hit on 9 team-player matches, slotted 7 players within 2 picks and 7 additional players within 4 picks, and identified 30/32 first-rounders, making it one of the most accurate mock drafts among experts worldwide. 

Some other recent results are shown below:

My 2022 F.L.G. NFL Mock Draft ranked 19th/1,379 experts:
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2022/final-scores

My 2021 F.L.G. NFL Mock Draft ranked 2nd/1,312 experts:
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2021/final-scores

My 2020 NFL Mock Draft ranked 6th/501 experts: 
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2020/final-scores

My 2019 NFL Mock Draft ranked 1st/477 experts: 
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2019

You can view my entire 11-year Mock Draft History and how those mocks compare to experts in the industry HERE.

Over the last 7 years, no one in the industry (that I’m aware of) has mocked more correct team matches. 

As always, beyond team matches, another primary objective for this exercise is to minimize the surprises on draft night for readers, which is why I include a short list of prospects (Considerations) for each pick. The fewer times you say, “Wow, I did not see that coming!” after reading this mock, the better I feel I did my job. The Considerations for each team can also be used to bet on the Draft. 

IMPORTANT NOTE: This Mock Draft is an evolving mock draft that will be updated almost daily up until the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 23, 2026! 

This method is more efficient and favorable to readers because news and information are constantly being gathered throughout the draft process, affecting predictions. Especially considering the speed at which the betting market shifts, a fluid document that updates regularly is far more actionable than posting a separate mock draft each week. 

Thorough (extremely intense and verbose) explanations for each pick will be added here, leading up to the draft. See last year’s 2025 F.L.G. Mock Draft for an example view of the finished product.

My ultimate goal is to be the most accurate mocker in the world, and many believe MY MOCK DRAFT HISTORY speaks for itself. 

I’m also on Twitter @FantasyLawGuy and would love to hear your takes on the draft! 

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(Last Updated: 4/23/2026)

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Round 1
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  1. LVR – Fernando Mendoza (QB – Indiana) – 1
  2. NYJ – Arvell Reese (ED – OSU) – 2-5 
  3. ARI – Jeremiyah Love (RB – Notre Dame) – 3-7
  4. TEN – David Bailey (ED – Texas Tech) – 2-4
  5. NYG – Sonny Styles (LB – OSU) – 5-12
  6. CLE – Spencer Fano (OT – Utah) – 5-14     
  7. WSH – Carnell Tate (WR – OSU) – 6-13 
  8. NO – Jordyn Tyson (WR – Arizona St.) – 5-14 
  9. KC – Rueben Bain Jr. (ED – Miami) – 8-14 
  10. NYG – Olaivavega Ioane (OG – Penn. St.) – 10-22     
  11. MIA – Mansoor Delane (CB – LSU) – 7-12   
  12. DAL – Caleb Downs (S – OSU) – 7-15  
  13. LAR – Kenyon Sadiq (TE – Oregon) – 13-21 
  14. BAL – Francis Mauigoa (OT – Miami) – 3-14 
  15. ***TRADE*** PHI (from TB) – Kadyn Proctor (OT – Alabama) – 13-19  
  16. NYJ – Makai Lemon (WR – USC) – 13-21   
  17. DET – Monroe Freeling (OT – UGA) – 11-24
  18. MIN – Peter Woods (DT – Clemson) – 18-Rd 2 
  19. CAR – Dillon Thieneman (S – Oregon) – 12-20 
  20. DAL – Malachi Lawrence (ED – Central Florida) – 20-Rd 2
  21. PIT – Omar Cooper Jr. (WR – Indiana) – 16-27 
  22. LAC – Keldric Faulk (ED – Auburn) – 15-30
  23. ***TRADE*** TB (from PHI) – Akheem Mesidor (ED – Miami) – 15-Rd 2  
  24. CLE – KC Concepcion (WR – Texas A&M) – 19-Rd 2     
  25. CHI – T.J. Parker (ED – Clemson) – 20-29
  26. ***TRADE*** ARI (from BUF) – Ty Simpson (QB – Alabama) – 24- Rd 2  
  27. SF – Caleb Lomu (OT – Utah) – 22-Rd 2  
  28. HOU – Blake Miller (OT – Clemson) – 17-31 
  29. KC – Colton Hood (CB – Tennessee) – 20-Rd 2
  30. MIA – Chris Johnson (CB – San Diego St.) – 28-Rd 2 
  31. NE – Max Iheanachor (OT – Arizona St.) – 23-31 
  32. SEA – Kayden McDonald (DT – OSU) – 25-Rd 2
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1. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS - Fernando Mendoza (QB - Indiana)
  • Considerations: Fernando Mendoza
  • Team Needs: 
    • QB, WR, ED, DT, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: None needed. Mendoza will be the pick.
2. NEW YORK JETS - Arvell Reese (ED - OSU)
  • Considerations: Arvell Reese, David Bailey
  • Team Needs:
    • QB, LG, ED, LB, CB
  • Team Analysis: This pick comes down to Arvell Reese vs. David Bailey. The initial expectation after the NFL Combine was that the Jets were taking Reese. However, big-time names from the national media (Daniel Jeremiah, Todd McShay, Albert Breer, and Peter Schrager) swung the pendulum in favor of Bailey, arguing that the Jets wanted more of an immediate impact. Reese is seen as more of a project/upside play, given that he was nowhere near a full-time edge player at OSU. He played mostly off-ball linebacker, but the value isn’t there to take LB at Pick 2, and he has the athletic ceiling to make more of an impact as a pass rusher off the edge. This pick remains fluid a few days away from the Draft, but there are two tiebreakers I’m considering, both of which break in favor of Reese being the pick. First, Reese is two years younger than Bailey, and that could be a pretty big deal for a team that is simply not built to win now. Second, there are some potential character red flags with Bailey. I’ll note the following from Dane Brugler’s Draft Guide, “The Beast.” “NFL scouts say his practice habits have matured and he is learning to love the process… NFL scouts say they want “more consistent energy levels” from him behind the scenes… Allegedly involved in a physical altercation with a photographer after Arizona State game in 2025 (photographer filed a police report, but no charges were filed against Bailey).” These notes seem particularly problematic with a defensive head coach in Aaron Glenn, who is dead set on establishing a culture of leadership. It doesn’t preclude Bailey from being the pick here, but it does raise some questions in my mind about them gelling. Defensively, the Jets were 31st in points allowed (29 PPG), 31st in sacks (26), and somehow failed to intercept a single pass in 2026. The latter is – of course – an NFL record, and not the good kind. The 0 INTs is embarrassing to the point I’d expect to come up frequently in draft preparation meetings. I’m expecting at least two of the Jets’ first three selections (Picks 2, 16, 34) to affect change in the pitiful pass defense. It begins at Pick 2 because there are no viable quarterbacks worthy of the #2 overall pick in this Draft class, so the Jets are expected to punt the QB position toward 2027, which is widely regarded as a loaded quarterback class. 
3. ARIZONA CARDINALS - Jeremiyah Love (RB - Notre Dame)
  • Considerations: Arvell Reese, David Bailey, Jeremiyah Love … TRADE DOWN: Francis Mauigoa, Spencer Fano, Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor, Ty Simpson
  • Team Needs: 
    • QB, RB, RT, RG, LB
  • Team Analysis: The Cardinals would desperately like to trade down, making this pick a wild card from a mocking perspective. While the team could certainly stick and pick whichever pass rusher the Jets pass on at Pick 2 (Reese or Bailey) because they finished 30th in sacks and 29th in points allowed per game, it is worth noting that the team has invested resources into the D-Line recently. I’d argue the bigger need (but not necessarily the better talent in this draft) is at right tackle. The Cardinals’ O-Line starters made 58/85 possible starts last year, and the right tackle spot is currently open for competition. Moreover, LT Paris Johnson Jr. enters a contract year (though the team is expected to reach a long-term deal with him). The Cardinals allowed 59 sacks (28th) last season, though some of that was due to subpar QB play and trailing for much of the season. The team dealt QB Kyler Murray, leaving QB Jacoby Brissett as a stop-gap solution. ARI has been linked with Alabama QB Ty Simpson throughout the draft process, and it seems logical that if Arizona plans to make a move for Simpson, a pocket passer, they would want to improve his protection with bookend tackles. The trade-down odds is the fact that ARI can probably get the same or a similar right tackle by moving down several spots, while accruing draft capital. OTs like Francis Mauigoa and Spencer Fano have to be considered, one of whom could be available around Pick 9. In fact, if the Cardinals are cool with OTs Monroe Freeling and Kadyn Proctor, it gives them the flexibility to move down even further… One variable that may come into play here is the urgency of ownership to create change now. RB Jeremiyah Love gives the team an identity (running game) and star power to get fans in the seats. Love’s playmaking and receiving ability would also help provide an outlet for a rookie QB like Ty Simpson, for whom many insiders assume ARI will move back into Round 1 to select. It’s hard to tell whether the late Love buzz is a legitimate push by ownership (it sounds like GM Ossenfort wants to trade down and go O-Line), or if it’s simply smoke to entice other teams to move up or gain leverage in trade-down negotiations; the Chiefs (9) have been rumored. Reliable Cardinals’ beat writer Mike Jurecki responded to me on Twitter, confirming he believes the interest in Love “is real.” In any case, GM Ossenfort’s draft history suggests ARI targeting a player they have visited with (ARI’s top pick has had a Top-30 visit with the team every year under Ossenfort), and who comes from school with a major football program (think SEC, Big 10, or ACC). The team has had Top-30 visits with Arvell Reese (Ohio St.), Jeremiyah Love (Notre Dame), Francis Mauigoa (Miami), and David Bailey (Texas Tech). It’s worth noting that ARI is the only team to have a Top-30 visit with OT Mauignoa, despite a back issue some teams have flagged. Assuming the Cardinals are OK with Mauigoa’s medicals, he’s probably the preferred target in a tradeback scenario (think picks 8-12, with a team coming up for Bailey). If the team sticks and picks at 3, I’m expecting either RB Love or DE Bailey. Look for the Cardinals to make calls later in Round 1 to put themselves in the best position possible to draft QB Ty Simpson. 
4. TENNESSEE TITANS - David Bailey (ED - Texas Tech)
  • Considerations: David Bailey, Arvell Reese, Jeremiyah Love, Sonny Styles
  • Team Needs: 
    • C, RG, ED
  • Team Analysis: New head coach Robert Saleh has always prioritized a heavy defensive line rotation, and apparently he’s been quite persuasive in draft “war rooms,” because the track record of his teams taking a defensive lineman in Round 1 is pretty astonishing. At one point, while serving as the defensive coordinator in San Francisco, the 49ers spent their first-round pick on the D-Line for 4 out of 5 seasons. Then, Saleh became HC of the Jets, and the team selected Jermaine Johnson in Rd. 1 (Saleh also traded for Johnson this offseason). After that, Saleh returned to San Fran as the DC, and last year, sure enough, the 49ers selected D-Line in Rd. 1 in Mykel Williams. Accordingly, the Titans are ripe to take D-Line at Pick 4 under Saleh’s direction here. I think Tennessee would be quite satisfied with either David Bailey or Arvell Reese. The team spent a pretty penny on defensive free agents, but the Titans’ top edge rusher, Jermaine Johnson, is a free agent after this season. The Titans had only 6 interceptions (31st) last season and allowed 28.1 PPG (28th). There’s a chance both pass rushers are gone, however. Regardless, RB Jeremiyah Love will be in heavy consideration here. Daniel Jeremiah made the compelling argument that Tennessee is building a new stadium in Nashville, and they’ll need some star power to put fans in the seat. It doesn’t hurt that the team is trying to support the young QB they drafted #1 overall last April, Cam Ward. Tennessee scored 16.7 PPG (30th). New OC Brian Daboll was HC of the Giants organization that used RB Saquon Barkley effectively before he eventually departed, and the fact that Daboll is now with the Titans suggests letting Barkley walk in free agency was likely a regrettable mistake. It’s very likely that if Daboll were making this pick, Love would be the guy. Tony Pollard has had a couple of impressive seasons in Tennessee, considering the circumstances, but he and fellow running back Tyjae Spears are entering contract years. GM Mike Borgonzi comes from Kansas City, an organization that seemed to prioritize premium positions (not RB), according to Todd McShay (McShay claims he is tight with Borganzi, for what it’s worth). The counterargument would be that this draft class is weak for premium positions. Speaking of, there has been some buzz on LB Sonny Styles here. While my initial impression was that it seems rich for an off-ball LB, even one whose athleticism broke records at the NFL Combine, the noise is worth listening to due to HC Saleh’s history with comparable versatile, athletic backers like Fred Warner. That comp is everywhere, but I found it persuasive that ex-Titans GM Ran Carthon recounted a story of his time in San Francisco when Saleh was pounding the table for LB Tremaine Edmunds. Carthon believes Styles may remind Saleh of Edmunds. Still, that seems like an outside shot unless Tennessee trades down. Based on deciphering GM Borganzi’s press conferences (with the help of Titans’ beat Easton Freeze), I have Tennessee’s wish list as Bailey > Reese > Love > Styles. 
5. NEW YORK GIANTS - Sonny Styles (LB - OSU)
  • Considerations: Jeremiyah Love, Sonny Styles, Caleb Downs, Francis Mauigoa, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson
  • Team Needs:
    • WR, OG, LB, CB
  • Team Analysis: During GM Schoen’s tenure, the team has leaned on elite RAS (relative athletic score) athletes (9.0+) from Big 10 or SEC schools in Rd. 1. He’s also leaned on premium positions, but that’s a problem in a draft class that lacks studs at the league’s most valuable positions. In fact, it’s highly likely that the highest graded player available for Pick 5 is either an off-ball linebacker (Styles) or a running back (Love). It’s fair to question how much say Schoen has on this pick anyway, after the Giants gave the keys to new HC John Harbaugh. According to reliable Giants’ beat writer Jordan Ranaan, there seems to be a clear focus on establishing a physical run game. It may start with the RB position itself. Ranaan reported that the Giants pursued both Travis Etienne and Kenneth Walker in free agency, both of whom signed elsewhere for relatively hefty contracts. This fact trumps arguments that the Giants do not need RB due to Cam Skattebo and Tyrone Tracy. Clearly, the team disagrees. I’d guess the team views Skattebo – who is coming off a pretty serious injury – as a change of pace or “closer” in the 4th quarter. In short, I’m buying the Giants’ interest in Love, if available… LB Sonny Styles is another player who seems to fit the Harbaugh agenda. In February, Harbaugh stated, “The inside linebacker isn’t always considered a value position, but you can’t stop the run without an inside linebacker making tackles in the middle. You can’t do it.” Harbaugh is also on record saying, “If they run the ball for 4, 5 yards, that is the end of the world. That’s a disaster. If it breaks out past that, we can’t even breathe… We want the run stopped.” (Per beat writer Ian O’Connor). Furthering the argument for Styles are the facts that 1) the Giants linebackers were atrocious last season, and 2) John Harbaugh has a strong history of valuing the LB position, dating back from days of coaching Ray Lewis, drafting CJ Mosley and Patrick Queen in Rd. 1, and trading for Roquan Smith in Baltimore. Accordingly, the Giants signed LB Tremaine Edmunds in free agency; there is little alongside him, however. Certainly, recently trading NT Dexter Lawrence won’t help the run defense, which may heighten the need for taking LB Styles here or at Pick 10 (NYG has Picks 5 and 10). In Baltimore, Harbaugh also leaned on great safety play – be it Eric Weddle, Kyle Hamilton, or most recently Malaki Starks. Here, Caleb Downs (OSU) is undersized, but he carries extremely rave character and leadership reviews. Many new coaches of organizations look to establish the culture and set the tone with their first pick, and Downs makes sense from those two angles. In short, Harbaugh is pretty old-school, and he prioritizes LB and S above most coaches… Finally, we cannot completely rule out offensive line (Francis Mauigoa, Spencer Fano) or wide receiver (Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson). Of course, there are major holes at offensive guard and WR2. However, my read on this situation right now is that the team – namely Harbaugh – feels these positions would be more appropriately addressed at Pick 10. 
6. CLEVELAND BROWNS - Spencer Fano (OT - Utah)
  • Considerations: Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Spencer Fano, Francis Mauigoa,  … TRADE DOWN: Kaleb Proctor, Monroe Freeling
  • Team Needs:
    • QB, WR, LT, RG, ED
  • Team Analysis: The Browns want to trade down, and odds are they’ll be able to pull something off, even at a discounted price, to get in the sweet spot of their two biggest needs: left tackle and wide receiver. The latter sports Jerry Jeudy as WR1, Cedric Tillman (contract year) as WR2, and Isaiah Bond in the slot. Yikes. The situation also remains dire at LT, though Cleveland did a good job of retooling the O-Line (on paper) with 4 new starters at LG, C, RG, and RT. The good news about having two major needs (outside of QB, which is expected to be addressed in a stacked 2027 QB class) is that Cleveland has two picks in Rd. 1: Picks 6 and 24. It’s very Cleveland will use its two first rounders on WR and LT, but the order is TBD. Either way, a trade down should be expected, with the team wanting to target an OT like Francis Mauigoa, Spencer Fano, Monroe Freeling, or Kadyn Proctor. Realistically, the team could move anywhere from Picks 8-16 and be in a solid position to take one. Freeling was popularly mocked to Cleveland early in the process. The two names I’ve heard most associated with the Browns are Spencer Fano and Kadyn Proctor. Tony Pauline reported that Cleveland sees Fano as a potential left tackle in the NFL. Regardless, GM Andrew Berry is on record saying he doesn’t fear having a right tackle (Mauigoa, Fano, Proctor) switch to the left side. This is substantiated by their history, doing so with OT Jedrick Wills. What I like about all 4 tackle options is that they are young prospects. Cleveland typically targets younger players (3rd youngest class last season), with the average age of 21.4, the youngest among all GMs in the sample, per Connor Allen. Mauigoa is 20.8; Fano is 21.4, Freeling is 21.7, and Proctor is 20.8. That’s a big box checked, especially for a team that is more than a year away from really winning… If efforts to trade down are unsuccessful, the most likely OT options are Mauigoa and Fano. The most likely WRs are Carnell Tate and Jordyn Tyson. Tate (OSU) could remain in-state and bring a much-needed all-around WR for HC Todd Monken, who loves to throw the football. There are experts who believe that Tate’s incomplete athletic profile may cause some hesitation for an analytical front office, as it did with Cleveland’s assessment of Tetoira McMillan last season, according to Dane Brugler. Jordyn Tyson lacks an athletic testing profile either, due to injury, but it is assumed he would have tested as a plus athlete. It helps that both Tate (21.2) and Tyson (21.6) are younger prospects.
7. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS - Carnell Tate (WR - OSU)
  • Considerations: Jeremiyah Love, Sonny Styles, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Caleb Downs … TRADE DOWN: Mansoor Delane, Makai Lemon, Vega Ioane
  • Team Needs:
    • RB, OG/C, WR, LB
  • Team Analysis: This is Jeremiyah Love’s floor. Analyst Anthony Amico did a good job of aggregating historical trends that GM Adam Peters has shown in two seasons as Washington’s GM. All 14 draftees played at least 38 games (we want experience); half of them were team captains (we want captains/leadership); 9 of 14 (including all 4 first rounders) were invited to Senior Bowl (more experience); 13 of 14 were at least 4 years removed from high school (OK with older prospects); all 14 had multiple pre-Draft meetings with the team (pick requires in-person meeting); none had documented character concerns (no red flags); draft picks had 9.24 average relative athletic score (we want athletes shown by testing). Together, we are trying to find the Commanders a high-character player with experience and high athleticism, who has also met with the team. It is worth noting that Quinn said we want to get “longer and faster” on defense earlier this offseason. That is not music to the ears of DE Rueben Bain Jr., whose short arm length may be a concern for some teams. I’m also hesitant to mock Bain here because of the aforementioned high character priorities; it doesn’t seem like Peters will take the risk. Moreover, Quinn was asked at owners’ meetings about GM Peters bringing in defensive ends Oweh, Omenihu, and Chaisson for pass rush help, and Quinn responded, “Amen. He delivered.” This makes me think they are done adding at DE. The length and speed quote also doesn’t sound good for S Caleb Downs, who is undersized and may have run a slow 40-yard dash if he elected to try (WSH likes testing). The Commanders did not host Bain or Downs on Top-30 meetings, but they did meet with each player at the Combine. Notably, the team had Top-30 visits with LB Sonny Styles, WR Carnell Tate, WR Makai Lemon, and CB Mansoor Delane. I could see Lemon being in play in a trade-down scenario (the Commanders don’t have a 2nd round pick). Delane could be the pick because he checks most of the aforementioned boxes, but I don’t see corner as the pressing need that LB or WR is. I like Delane, Vega Ioane (there is a big need at left guard specifically), and Lemon (the Commanders have done a lot of homework on WRs) in a trade-down scenario; Washington does not have a second-round pick and will look to fix that. The two players I’m focused on here at 7 are LB Sonny Styles and WR Carnell Tate. Tate doesn’t not have a complete athletic testing profile, but GM Peters mentioned a few months ago he wants a young, explosive playmaker at Pick 7. He said the vision for the offense is generating explosive plays. This rings with Tate’s skill set as a downfield target, which also jives with QB Jayden Daniels’ specialty, the deep ball. The team needs a bona fide WR2 opposite Terry McLaurin, and more importantly, Washington tried (and failed) to acquire one in free agency this offseason. Specifically, Washington pursued Alec Pierce and Romeo Doubs before they signed hefty contracts with other teams, according to reliable beat writer John Keim. I could see them being in on WR Jordyn Tyson, too, but I am unaware of the team visiting with him, so I’m reluctant to mock him here. LB Sonny Styles is the other top option here because he checks ALL of the Commanders’ boxes. A freak RAS-tested athlete, Styles fills a major need, needing to fill in for the legendary Bobby Wagner at LB. Furthermore, Quinn has a long history of being the DC or HC of teams that have valued off-ball LBs and safeties higher than most teams. In other words, Quinn will not shy away from a LB like Sonny Styles or a S like Caleb Downs due to positional value. But it’s GM Peters’ interview with Kay Adams that I cannot get out of my head. Peters called Styles a “team captain” and mentioned that the team needs a smart player to wear the green dot (calling plays for the defense). The whole interview seemed like Peters had already made up his mind about loving Styles, and the buzzwords he used were too familiar because they have been lines used to describe Styles throughout the draft process. Ultimately, I think Styles is the preferred option here, assuming RB Jeremiyah Love doesn’t fall to Pick 7. I have the Commanders’ wish list as follows: Jeremiyah Love > Sonny Styles > Carnell Tate > Trade Down (Mansoor Delane, Makai Lemon, Vega Ioane).
8. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - Jordyn Tyson (WR - Arizona St.)
  • Considerations: Arvell Reese (trade up), Jeremiyah Love (trade up), David Bailey (trade up), Sonny Styles, Jordyn Tyson, Caleb Downs, Carnell Tate, Rueben Bain Jr., Mansoor Delane
  • Team Needs: 
    • WR/TE, RG, ED, DT, CB
  • Team Analysis: My four finalists for this pick are WRs Carnell Tate (OSU), Jordyn Tyson (ASU), DE Rueben Bain Jr. (MIA), and S Caleb Downs (OSU). Wide receiver is arguably the biggest need of the bunch, with the current No. 2 being Devaughn Vele and WR3 being a competition between Tipton and Austin. This is not to mention WR1 Chris Olave has a lengthy history of concussions, and he’s entering a contract year. It’s not enough. The need is amplified by the fact that the Saints have to surround Tyler Shough with weapons to get an accurate evaluation of him. The team knows he’s good, obviously, but they have to assess whether he’s THE franchise quarterback to build around for the next decade. As a result, any tiebreakers should go in favor of supporting the young quarterback. Carnell Tate comes from Ohio State, a program the Saints have trusted over the years to produce well-coached, smart players (see Olave). Tate is pretty well-rounded in terms of route tree, size, and speed. There are questions about whether he benefitted from facing easier coverage as OSU’s No. 2 WR. Nevertheless, I’m pretty confident the Saints like Tate, but the question is whether they like Jordyn Tyson more. Tyson poses a greater risk due to medical concerns. From Dane Brugler’s draft guide, “The Beast”: [Tate] missed multiple games in each of his four college seasons: three games as a redshirt junior because of a hamstring injury (Oct. 2025), which also sidelined him for most of the draft process; missed most of 2025 spring practices because of an ankle injury (March 2025); broken left collarbone (Nov. 2024), which forced him to miss the Big 12 championship and ASU’s playoff game vs. Texas; torn ACL, MCL and PCL in his left knee (Nov. 2022), which ended his freshman season at Colorado and sidelined him for most of the 2023 season. Yikes. It’s fair to assume several teams have medical red flags on Tate. It’s also fair to argue the Saints are NOT one of those teams. GM Mickey Loomis has been quite aggressive when it comes to taking chances on players with suspect medical profiles, prioritizing athletic ceiling. The Saints may choose to believe Tyson’s main medical problems are behind him, and they may trust the improved training staff to prevent future issues. It’s one of those things where “If he can stay healthy, he’s a clear Top 10 pick.” It’s worth noting, however, that the Saints have relied on athletic testing; RT Ryan Ramczyk was the only first-rounder since 2015 to not test (similar to Tyson, it was injury-related). Overall, most teams will have Carnell Tate as the top WR on their boards, but the Saints could be one of the handful of teams that are comfortable with Tyson’s medicals and see Tyson as the class’s WR1. The Saints averaged 18.0 PPG last season… Defensively, there is certainly a need at DE opposite Chase Young. The team views Carl Granderson as more of a DE3, and Cam Jordan (36 years old) is still unsigned. It does not help that there are several DTs entering contract years, so more bodies are needed along the D-Line. This makes Rueben Bain Jr. a possible pick. The Saints sit right in range, and Bain is more likely to be available for this pick after a report surfaced publicly about him being involved in a car crash, operating a vehicle that killed a 22-year-old student. Bain was cleared of any wrongdoing, but the victim’s family could still bring a civil suit if more information surfaces in the future. Some teams will care and see this as a character red flag, others won’t want any negative PR associated with drafting him early, and some will simply not care. All have done due diligence to assess the situation, so if the Saints take him at Pick 8, it’s because they are comfortable with the character. What they may not be comfortable with Bain’s arm length (sub-31 inches). Certain teams prioritize measurables and set athletic thresholds for each position. The Saints have been a team that seems to have a prototype, particularly at defensive end, that suggests New Orleans may be apprehensive about selecting Bain this high. In fact, no DE has ever been selected in the Top 20 with arms as short as Bain’s. Still, the Saints could see Bain as one of the few great prospects at a premium position. Nick Underhill noted he did not believe the Saints would be uncomfortable with the length. If New Orleans really wants an upgrade at DE, they can contact Arizona (Pick 3) and try to move up. Loomis has arguably been the league’s most aggressive GM when it comes to trading up, and the Cards would likely offer whoever moves up to Pick 3 a discount because it’s a weak draft class, and ARI can get a similar if not the same player they want at 3 at Pick 8. It’s worth a phone call. The target would be Texas Tech DE David Bailey, who fits the Saints’ protoype at DE more than Bain… Safety Caleb Downs is another name to watch. He’s undersized and did not test athletically, so that’s not ideal for the Saints (first-rounders under Loomis have sported a high 9.3/10 relative athletic score since 2015). However, Downs fits in beautifully schematically in the valuable and versatile STAR position of Brandon Staley’s defense, which is currently TBD. Staley coached the Chargers when All-Pro safety Derwin James was there, and the Saints could use another DB (corner or safety) to solidify the backend after the loss of Alontae Taylor. Making Downs more attractive is the rave reviews he’s received across the entire industry throughout the draft process. Scouts have called him the smartest player in the draft, and he brings incredible leadership, work ethic, and passion. Per Brugler’s Guide, Downs possesses elite competitive toughness, was voted one of four team captains in 2025, and teammates praised his all-business attitude toward practice and meetings. The intangibles could cause Loomis to buck his athletic testing trends and positional value in a class that lacks talent at premium positions. Yet, it should be noted that safeties tend to go later than the media and public perceive, and again, Downs is quite undersized and would be a below average athlete for the position, so the Top 10 may be rich for him (physically, not personally). Cornerback is a premium position that is a need for the Saints, and the team had a Top-30 visit with LSU CB Mansoor Delane; however, relying on Underhill, it seems like Delane is a little further down the list. My dark horse for this pick is Penn. St. guard Vega Ioane. He does not fit the athletic profile of a Saints first round pick, but neither did OG Tyler Booker last year, who I’m told the Saints were very IN on (he may have even been selected at Pick 9 if Kelvin Banks Jr. were unavailable). All teams see Ioane as an elite leader and locker room asset, and some view him as the best offensive lineman in the draft. I’m not certain about the future of RG Cesar Ruiz. Ultimately, I think Plan A is one of the WRs: Tate or Tyson, and Plan B is either S Caleb Downs or DE Rueben Bain Jr.
9. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - Rueben Bain Jr. (ED - Miami)
  • Considerations: Jeremiyah Love, Rueben Bain Jr., Carnell Tate, Francis Mauigoa, Spencer Fano, Sonny Styles, Kenyon Sadiq, Jordyn Tyson, Mansoor Delane
  • Team Needs: 
    • WR, RT, ED, DT, LB, CB
  • Team Analysis: GM Brett Veach tends to lean toward younger prospects, with 5 of their last 6 first rounders having been under the age of 22 when drafted. KC also prioritizes meeting with their first picks. KC has met with 5 of their last 6 first selections, with the lone exception being Trent McDuffie, whom Veach later said he didn’t expect to last until KC’s pick that year. Using the Top-30 visits tracker to our advantage, we can hone in on edge rushers Arvell Reese and David Bailey, likely in a trade-up scenario. The Chiefs have reportedly been in trade talks with the Arizona Cardinals (Pick 3), so moving up for a pass rusher (David Bailey) is a legitimate option. There’s also WR Carnell Tate, DE Rueben Bain, WR Makai Lemon, TE Kenyon Sadiq, and OTs Monroe Freeling and Kadyn Proctor. A fallback option at DE if Kansas City sticks and picks at 9 could be Rueben Bain Jr., as long as KC is OK with the arm length issue. WR Tate makes a ton of sense because he complements the inside game of Rashee Rice well, but also because of the volatility of Rashee Rice off the field, and there’s little behind him and Xavier Worthy, who has not proven to be reliable yet. WR Jordyn Tyson could thrive in KC, but I think the team leans toward Tate over Tyson due to the lack of a Top-30 visit and considering the injuries the Chiefs’ WRs have dealt with for the last few seasons (Tyson has major medical history). TE Travis Kelce (36) showed a significant decline last season and is likely entering his final year, so another pass catcher for Mahomes is needed. Interestingly, Kelce was part of the meeting with TE Kenyon Sadiq during Sadiq’s visit with the Chiefs. Perhaps the team is setting up the future. Another name I would throw into the mix, despite no official Top-30 visit, is OT Spencer Fano. There’s a noteworthy connection here because HC Andy Reid was a college roommate of former Utah HC Kyle Whittingham, who coached Fano. The Chiefs’ current RT, Jaylon Moore, is entering a contract year, and Fano possesses a lot of versatility. I like the fit because Reid has historically prioritized building through the trenches. Cornerback is another major need here, having traded away CB Trent McDuffie and losing Jaylen Watson (800 snaps) in free agency. The Chiefs have another first-round pick (29), and CB may be better addressed there if KC is not in love with Mansoor Delane. Finally, Daniel Jeremiah has been absolutely adamant that the Chiefs would take Jeremiyah Love (despite the addition of Kenneth Walker), and I believe him.
10. NEW YORK GIANTS - Olaivavega Ioane (OG - Penn. St.)
  • Considerations: Sonny Styles, Caleb Downs, Francis Mauigoa, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Spencer Fano, Vega Ioane, Mansoor Delane
  • Team Needs: 
    • WR, OG, RT, LB, CB
  • Team Analysis: LB Sonny Styles is likely the dream target at Pick 10 (assuming they don’t take him at Pick 5!) and seems to fit the Harbaugh agenda. In February, Harbaugh stated, “The inside linebacker isn’t always considered a value position, but you can’t stop the run without an inside linebacker making tackles in the middle. You can’t do it.” Harbaugh is also on record saying, “If they run the ball for 4, 5 yards, that is the end of the world. That’s a disaster. If it breaks out past that, we can’t even breathe… We want the run stopped.” (Per beat writer Ian O’Connor). Furthering the argument for Styles are the facts that 1) the Giants linebackers were atrocious last season, and 2) John Harbaugh has a strong history of valuing the LB position, dating back to the days of coaching Ray Lewis, drafting CJ Mosley and Patrick Queen in Rd. 1, and trading for Roquan Smith in Baltimore. Accordingly, the Giants signed LB Tremaine Edmunds in free agency; there is little alongside him, however. Certainly, recently trading NT Dexter Lawrence won’t help the run defense, which may heighten the need for taking LB Styles if he lasts until this pick. In Baltimore, Harbaugh also leaned on great safety play – be it Eric Weddle, Kyle Hamilton, or most recently Malaki Starks. Here, Caleb Downs (OSU) is undersized, but he carries extremely rave character and leadership reviews. Many new coaches of organizations look to establish the culture and set the tone with their first pick, and Downs makes sense from those two angles. In short, Harbaugh is pretty old-school, and he prioritizes LB and S above most coaches. Another spot that Harbaugh will look to address within the first two rounds is offensive line, where there is a gaping vacancy at both guard spots. Spencer Fano and Francis Mauigoa played right tackle in college, but many evaluators believe they can be Pro Bowl guards at the next level. Both possess the athleticism and toughness Harbaugh and GM Schoen would desire at the position. A guard would embody the new culture would be Penn. St. OG Vega Ioane, whom I view as a legitimate candidate for this pick, even if odds do not suggest him as a favorite. I could easily see a scenario where Harbaugh gets on a presser after Thursday night and says, “Yeah, we traded Dexter Lawrence for the 10th pick with Vega in mind.” Granted, I could see that being the case with Caleb Downs, too… Wide receivers Carnell Tate and Jordyn Tyson are rightfully getting buzz for this pick, and narrative immediately upon trading for Pick 10 on the Sunday before the Draft was that the target was Tyson. Both Tate and Tyson would be great and needed complements to Malik Nabers (coming off major injury), especially having lost slot WR WanDale Robinson in free agency. I do think it’s worth noting that the team signed pass-catching TE Isaiah Likely, as well as WRs Darnell Mooney and Calvin Austin. However, either a WR or an OG would help young QB Jaxson Dart, which has to be a priority, and all players mentioned are squarely in range, so I could see the team going in either direction. Finally, CB Mansoor Delane is a wild card here who fits a position of need at a premium position and is expected to be drafted in this range. 
11. MIAMI DOLPHINS - Mansoor Delane (CB - LSU)
  • Considerations: Francis Mauigoa, Spencer Fano, Mansoor Delane, Caleb Downs, Dillon Thieneman
  • Team Needs: 
    • WR, RG, RT, LB, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: New GM Eric-Sullivan and HC Hafley come from Green Bay, a front office that prioritized drafting athletes that tested well (9.28 average RAS in Rd. 1 since ’18), and defense. Specifically, the Packers had prototypes and strictly adhered to measurables to the point where their projected prospects were deemed “Packers types” in the industry. Green Bay heavily leaned on going defense and offensive linemen in the first round of drafts. Here, the Dolphins desperately need WR, but they also need O-Line and DB. I’m relying on some quotes from GM Sullivan this offseason to help guide this pick. GM Sullivan on defensive backs: Nobody in the secondary “has earned anything. That whole back end is competing for their jobs… I’m going to do everything in my power if there’s one available that’s a stud, I’m going to go get them.” GM Sullivan on offensive line: “I like a lot of pieces on the OL. LT and C. I think there’s going to be competition elsewhere.” GM Sullivan on wide receivers: “It’s a really good wide receiver draft. Some very good players up top; there’s depth and substance to it in the second, third, fourth, rounds.” Together, I interpret these quotes to mean that the Dolphins are targeting O-Line and DB for their first two picks (Miami has Pick 30 too), seeing as the GM readily admitted 3/5 starting spots on the O-line are up for grabs, and the secondary was the league’s worst last season; no real upgrades have been brought in. OL Spencer Fano has the high RAS score and versatility that this regime may covet. S Caleb Downs doesn’t have the athletic testing or measurables the GM probably wants, but he could spearhead a much-needed cultural shift in Miami. CB Mansoor Delane is another seamless fit here. I cannot emphasize enough how barren the depth chart is at corner and safety, but believe it or not, the WR room is even more desolate. The team’s top four WRs are – somehow – Jalen Tolbert, Tutu Atwell, Malik Washington, and Nick Westbrook-Ikhene. 
12. DALLAS COWBOYS - Caleb Downs (S - OSU)
  • Considerations: Sonny Styles, Caleb Downs, Rueben Bain Jr., Mansoor Delane
  • Team Needs: 
    • SWR, ED, LB, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: The Cowboys are in win-now mode and have needs across the defense that highly touted new DC Christian Parker will want addressed. Expect Dallas to be aggressive in targeting a blue-chip defender, potentially trading up for LB Sonny Styles, S Caleb Downs, CB Mansoor Delane, and ED Rueben Bain Jr. There is a dropoff after this tier, and I don’t think Dallas wants to go offense with this pick. Cowboys defense: 6 INTs (31st); 30 PPG allowed (32nd). Dallas typically hosts their eventual Rd 1 pick on a Top-30 visit during the draft process. They have met with LB Styles, EDs Arvell Reese and David Bailey, CB Delane, and S Downs. It’s worth noting that DAL did NOT meet with Rueben Bain, so I think he’s fourth on the list of top-tier talents they’d select at 12. Dallas hosted CB Jermod McCoy on a Top-30 visit, but I don’t think they are comfortable with his medicals, based on owner Jerry Jones’ comments about not wanting to take a “red shirt” player high, and taking a shot at George Pickens’s agent (who also reps McCoy). Plan B may include players I think the Cowboys are high on, such as S Dillon Thieneman, CB Colton Hood, and ED Keldric Faulk, though I don’t think the team wants that to be the play at 12. Dallas also has Pick 20. 
13. LOS ANGELES RAMS - Kenyon Sadiq (TE - Oregon)
  • Considerations: Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, Spencer Fano, Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor, Kenyon Sadiq
  • Team Needs: 
    • WR, RT, iOL, S
  • Team Analysis: This comes down to offensive line or pass catcher. The Rams have to prioritize protecting Stafford (38). The problem is that the team’s current starting LG, C, RG, and RT all enter contract years. Moreover, this could be a sweet spot for an offensive tackle. Spencer Fano, Monroe Freeling, Vega Ioane, and Kadyn Proctor are all sensible selections that are within range. WR Puka Nucua hasn’t had the cleanest offseason, and Davante Adams (33) dealt with injuries last season. The Rams have no viable WR3, and they were rumored in A.J. Brown trade talks. This tells me they want reinforcement at WR. Makai Lemon (USC) is a local product who fits the mold of a tough Rams slot WR in McVay’s offense. Furthermore, I’m buying narratives that the Rams want to trade up for a top-tier WR prospect like Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson. Tyson has been comped to Davante Adams throughout the draft process. The Commanders (7) and Browns (6) may be amenable to moving here. The Rams also tried trading up for pass catchers (Brock Bowers, Tetoira McMillan) in previous drafts. 
14. BALTIMORE RAVENS - Francis Mauigoa (OT - Miami)
  • Considerations: Mansoor Delane, Rueben Bain Jr., Jordyn Tyson, Spencer Fano, Makai Lemon, Francis Mauignoa, Kadyn Proctor, Kenyon Sadiq, Vega Ioane, Monroe Freeling
  • Team Needs: 
    • WR, TE, C, RG, DT, CB
  • Team Analysis: The Ravens could go in a number of different directions as they likely watch the board fall and go BPA among pass catchers (Lemon, Sadiq) and offensive line (Fano, Proctor, Freeling, Ioane). Rashod Bateman is the team’s current WR2, which is suboptimal, and the Ravens let pass-catching TE Isaiah Likely walk in free agency. TE Mark Andrews has lost several steps, and this offense is expected to prioritize the TE position, making TE Sadiq more attractive. Earlier in the offseason, Baltimore’s new OC said the team is “hunting for explosives.” WR Zay Flowers is entering a contract year. Right now, four players are competing for two guard spots along the O-Line, so guard is up in the air. I could see this being the floor for Rueben Bain Jr. because Baltimore has taken risks on character and measurables high up in previous drafts. The team currently has little behind ED Mike Green (46 PFF grade as a rookie). There are also cornerback concerns; CB1 Humphrey is 31, and both he and CB3 Awuzie are entering contract years. For those reasons, this is probably Mansoor Delane’s floor. 
15. ***TRADE*** TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS - Ahkeem Mesidor (ED - Miami)
  • Considerations: Kenyon Sadiq, Vega Ioane, Jermod McCoy
  • Team Needs: 
    • OG, ED, LB
  • Team Analysis: What we know about GM Licht: We take all the “assholes” off the board. He emphasizes finding “the right person” (not player). Thus, we should be mocking good character here. He values college production and favors athleticism (9.58 average RAS since 2016). Interestingly, the Bucs have not met with their eventual Rd 1 pick since Devin White, which is explained by COVID and having the 5th overall pick. The Bucs have a need along the offensive line, and two character fits who stand out to me that fall within range are TE Kenyon Sadiq and OG Vega Ioane. The latter doesn’t carry the athleticism desired at the position by Tampa, but the Bucs could stand to upgrade both guard positions, making this a big need. TE Sadiq has been praised by teammates for his intangibles. The Bucs lost WR Mike Evans, and the team dealt with injuries to other WRs last year, so a pass catcher is needed. GM Licht: “I still think we have a very good offense. I am very excited about our RB room, our OL, Baker…” (note that the TE room was not mentioned). Tampa Bay’s biggest need is unquestionably along the D-Line. The team has several expiring contracts, both at DE and DT. However, it does not appear this pick falls within the range of viable DL candidates; the Bucs would either have to reach or trade down. Both are options, but if the team sticks and picks at 15, I’m expecting an O-lineman who can play guard, or TE Sadiq.
16. NEW YORK JETS - Makai Lemon (WR - USC)
  • Considerations: Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, Vega Ioane, Omar Cooper Jr., Chris Johnson Jr., Colton Hood
  • Team Needs: 
    • QB, LG, ED, LB, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: Defensively, the Jets were 31st in points allowed (29 PPG), 31st in sacks (26), and somehow failed to intercept a single pass in 2026. The latter is – of course – an NFL record, and not the good kind. The 0 INTs is embarrassing to the point I’d expect to come up frequently in draft preparation meetings. I’m expecting at least two of the Jets’ first three selections (Picks 2, 16, 34) to affect change in the pitiful pass defense. Accordingly, DB could be the play at Pick 16, though it should be noted that the way the board falls may require reaching a bit off the consensus projections for the best available corner. Still, the situation is dire, so CBs like Chris Johnson Jr. and Colton Hood may be in play, albeit a little early. I’ve gathered intel that the Jets love Johnson Jr. specifically, but it’s unclear whether that’s at Pick 16 or Pick 33. The team needs more CB help than S, but it’s worth noting S Dillon Thieneman falls within this range. If it’s not DB, I’m expecting a pass catcher here. The team needs a legitimate WR2 or WR3, depending on how they view AD Mitchell. The WRs I’ve heard the Jets considering are Makai Lemon and Omar Cooper Jr. The latter has been linked to the Jets throughout the last two months. Ideally, they’ll want to set up the supporting cast around a QB drafted in the 2027 class. Left guard is the lone spot worth improving on the O-Line, which could be the team’s identity. OG Vega Ioane is a strong cultural fit for a team with an old-school HC in Aaron Glenn, who prioritizes locker room leadership and running the ball. 
17. DETROIT LIONS - Monroe Freeling (OT - UGA)
  • Considerations: Kadyn Proctor, Vega Ioane, Monroe Freeling, Keldric Faulk, Blake Miller, T.J. Parker
  • Team Needs: 
    •  LT, ED, DT, LB, CB
  • Team Analysis: GM Holmes and HC Campbell require strong character; they don’t care about positional value, but they do prioritize athleticism. Thus, we are looking to mock players who are extremely passionate about football, outwardly tough, and high-RAS (9.0+) athletes. The two major needs are OT and DE. At DE, there is little opposite Aidan Hutchinson. DEs T.J. Parker and Keldric Faulk fit the profile of the DEs the Lions have shown interest in. Relible beat writer Jeff Risdon referred to Faulk as a “physical clone” of Marcus Davenport, and unlike Davenport, Faulk is healthy. At OT, this pick falls squarely within range of several the Lions could covet, including Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor (who Daniel Jeremiah reported the Lions are in on), and Blake Miller. Miller is an extraordinary character fit here from toughness, leadership, and durability standpoints. The Lions and Texans were the two teams I thought of when reading Miller’s personality profile in Dane Brugler’s Draft Guide. Those three players are also high RAS athletes and come from big schools, so it checks those boxes for GM Holmes. There’s also Vega Ioane, who is a guard, but fits the Lions’ culture like a glove. They could slide him into left guard; it’s not the need that tackle is, but I’d bet Ioane is extremely high on DET’s board. 
18. MINNESOTA VIKINGS - Peter Woods (DT - Clemson)
  • Considerations: Dillon Thieneman, Makai Lemon, Kenyon Sadiq, Keldric Faulk, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Jermod McCoy
  • Team Needs:
      • RB, WR/TE, ED, DT, LB, S
  • Team Analysis: S Dillon Thieneman is the “chalky” selection here. Analysts view him as a 1-for-1 replacement for long-time stalwart safety Harrison Smith. DC Brian Flores prioritizes the defensive backfield, and safety is a bigger need than corner. Moreover, this is within the range where most teams are projecting Thieneman to land. It’s admittedly difficult to project the Vikings because they currently lack a GM, having recently fired theirs. Perhaps that gives offensive-minded HC O’Connell more of a say. He’d probably want a pass catcher that can create danger in the middle of the field, be it as a slot WR or a move TE. Kenyon Sadiq fits the profile of a first round TE that should go in this range. TJ Hockenson is on his last legs and can be easily parted with after this season. In addition, MIN lost SWR Nailor in FA after a strong season. There is currently a vacancy at SWR, and outside WR Jordan Addison is entering a contract year. For these reasons, I think Makai Lemon would be a strong fit here, particularly stylistically for this offense. 
19. CAROLINA PANTHERS - Dillon Thieneman (S - Oregon)
  • Considerations: Makai Lemon, Kenyon Sadiq, Dillon Thieneman, Jermod McCoy, Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor, Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller, KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr., Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
  • Team Needs:
      • QB, WR, LT, C/G, S
  • Team Analysis: GM Morgan: Most athletic Rds 1-2 profile among GMs, w/ 9.9 average RAS and 100% Power 5 Rate. In addition, 10/11 Day 1-2 picks had a Top-30 visit. Right off the bat, we are looking to mock a player with elite athleticism who has visited with Carolina during the pre-Draft process. HC Canales: “It could be a wideout, TE, safety.” Interestingly, Canales omitted offensive line from his assessment of the team’s top needs a month ago. HC Canales on Pick 19: I don’t believe in drafting for depth.” “We want an impact player.” Many analysts believe this precludes OL at Pick 19, but I am not among them. I’d argue Carolina has a major need at LT with the injury to LT Ekwonu (Achilles) jeopardizing his 2026 season; he’s also in a contract year. The team signed stop-gap solution LT Walker to a 1-year, $4M deal, which is chump change for a starting LT. Beyond this year, the Panthers have no future LT. This makes some highly athletic tackles – think Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor, Blake Miller, and Caleb Lomu – viable for Pick 19. The Panthers sent OL coach to Clemson (Miller), Alabama (Proctor), and Utah (Lomu + Fano)… S Dillon Thieneman is another name to watch here. He’s projected to go within range (if not a pick before to MIN), and Carolina has made it known they lack the nickel spot on the defense. “A couple of dynamic safeties that could free us up,” Canales said. Beat writer Joe Person claimed that Thieneman would be the pick if available… Pass catcher is another apparent need, despite the fact that Carolina has taken 2 WRs in the first rounds of the last two drafts. GM Morgan stated this would not preclude a third. Makai Lemon, KC Concepcion, and Omar Cooper Jr. give the team a different dynamic and would be nice complements to Tetoira McMillan. I also think the team is quite high on TE Kenyon Sadiq, if he were to fall here. That’s one way to provide pass-catching support to Bryce Young without overflooding resources at WR. 
20. DALLAS COWBOYS - Malachi Lawrence (ED - UCF)
  • Considerations: Keldric Faulk, Dillon Thieneman, Omar Cooper Jr., Ahkeem Mesidor, Malachi Lawrence, Colton Hood, Chris Johnson Jr., Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
  • Team Needs:
      •  SWR, ED, LB, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: Cowboys defense: 6 INTs (31st); 30 PPG allowed (32nd). Dallas typically hosts their eventual Rd 1 pick on a Top-30 visit during the draft process. The team may accept a trade-down offer here because they currently lack a 2nd round pick. Plus, many of the players I’ve heard tied to Dallas here can likely last a few spots later. I think this is S Dillon Thieneman’s floor, and it’s probably the ceiling for CB Colton Hood and Chris Johnson Jr. I believe the team is particularly high on Hood. New DC Christian Parker is a former DBs coach. This is probably also the ceiling S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, whom the team met with for a Top-30 visit, and could solve the nickel back situation that Dallas has made the public aware is a problem. Pass rush is a problem, too. DE Malachi Lawrence is a sleeper for this pick because he was coached at UCF by Demeitre Brim, who Dallas hired on its defensive staff. Beat writer Bryan Broaddus also believes the team is high on Akheem Mesidor. I consider this pick Mesidor’s ceiling outcome as well. The name I’m hearing most associated with this pick by Cowboys sources is DE Keldric Faulk. That may be because Faulk had a Top-30 visit with the team. While the pick is expected to be on the defensive side of the ball, we should not dismiss WR Omar Cooper Jr., who met with the team early in the process. George Pickens is entering a contract year, and after Jerry Jones threw shade at Pickens’s agent, it’s unclear whether they expect to get a long-term deal done. Regardless, the Cowboys need a versatile slot WR like Cooper Jr. 
21. PITTSBURGH STEELERS - Omar Cooper Jr. (WR - Indiana)
  • Considerations: Kenyon Sadiq, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor, Vega Ioane, Omar Cooper Jr., KC Concepcion
  • Team Needs:
    • QB, LT, LG, LB, CB
  • Team Analysis: The Steelers usually meet with their top draft pick at some point during the draft process, so it’s worth pointing out some of the notable Top-30 visits: WR Makai Lemon, WR Denzel Boston, S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, and CB Chris Johnson. PIT also met with a handful of players projected around this spot at the Combine, including OT Kadyn Proctor, WR Omar Cooper Jr., Jordyn Tyson, and CB Colton Hood. The meetings with Lemon and Cooper seem important because SWR is a big need for the Steelers, whereas a player like Denzel Boston overlaps with the Steelers already have in Michael Pittman and DK Metcalf. Not only that, but Cooper is well connected to the organization. Curt Cignetti, Cooper’s HC at Indiana, is brothers with Frank Cignetti Jr., who is now the Steelers senior offensive assistment. Moreover, the Steelers’ WR coach recruited Cooper at IU. Another interesting WR connection is through Steelers great, WR Hines Ward, who coaches and trains WR Jordyn Tyson; though, the Steelers would likely have to trade up into or near the Top 10 to draft Tyson. Importantly, reliable Steelers beat writer Gerry Dulac confirmed the Steelers have done a lot of homework on the pass catchers in this class, and Dulac mentioned TE Kenyon Sadiq as a target for the Steelers if Sadiq falls. A WR or TE like Sadiq would appease Aaron Rodgers, who is expected to play one final season in a last run for a Super Bowl with the Steelers… Adam Schefter recently reported that LT Broderick Jones had a setback in his recovery, amplifying the need for a left tackle. I’d argue the Steelers would have considered one here regardless, as Jones has not been good, and he enters a contract year anyway. PIT also has a vacancy at left guard, to make matters worse. OT Kadyn Proctor, Monroe Freeling, Blake Miller, and Caleb Lomu could all be strong considerations, along with LG Vega Ioane if he slips through the cracks. 

     

22. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS - Keldric Faulk (ED - Auburn)
  • Considerations: Vega Ioane, Kadyn Proctor, Caleb Lomu, T.J. Parker, Akheem Mesidor, Keldric Faulk, Chase Bisontis
  • Team Needs:
    • LG, ED, DT
  • Team Analysis: The two biggest needs on the roster – by far – are offensive guard and defensive line. Last year, the Chargers dealt with major injuries along the O-line, with starters making 51/90 possible starts. Although OTs Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater are expected to return, LG remains vacant. LAC allowed 60 sacks (31st). A vastly different offensive scheme – going from Greg Roman to Mike McDaniel – will bring more outside zone blocking, which requires athleticism and movement skills from its O-linemen. Despite this, Daniel Jeremiah, who is a color commentator for the Chargers during the season, said that if Vega Ioane is available, the team couldn’t run the card up fast enough. Perhaps the team could reach on a guard like Chase Bisontis, a nice scheme fit, here as well. There is debate whether the team would take a mobile tackle like Caleb Lomu and risk playing him at guard without experience. On one hand, Lomu or Blake Miller could provide an insurance policy for the stud tackles Alt and Slater if needed; on the other hand, the Chargers are in win-now mode, and there are better plug-and-play guards with experience… Reinforcements are needed at both DE and DT with DEs Mack (34), Tuipulotu, and Dupree (34) all entering contract years; DT Tomlinson (33) also has an expiring contract after this season. Veterans Tomlinson, Dupree, and Mack could coach up a young, raw but talented D-Line rookie like ED Keldric Faulk, ED T.J. Parker, or DT Peter Woods. Those are three names I’d keep an eye on for this pick. 
23. ***TRADE*** PHILADELPHIA EAGLES - Kadyn Proctor (OT - Alabama)
  • Considerations: Jordyn Tyson, Monroe Freeling, Kadyn Proctor, Vega Ioane, Max Iheanachor, Blake Miller, Omar Cooper Jr., Denzel Boston
  • Team Needs:
    • WR, TE, RG, RT, ED, S
  • Team Analysis: The expectation is that this pick will be a trench player. The team’s Last 5 first rounders 9.0+ RAS. GM Roseman: Has stayed truest to the consensus board, so the Eagles are expected to scoop up an athletic prospect who slides further than expected. Analyst Josh Norris strongly expects this pick to be offense, arguing that 10 of 12 last picks in Rounds 1-3 have been on defense, so the pendulum will swing back. Moreover, Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie is on record saying significant changes are being made to the offense. There has been turmoil offensively after a subpar season, whether it’s rumors of dissatisfaction with QB Jalen Hurts or the expected post-Draft trade of star WR A.J. Brown. For these reasons, I lean offense here too. The O-Line is aging; RT Lane Johnson is 35 and needs a successor (perhaps an athletic but raw project like Max Iheanachor). I think the Eagles are very high on both athletic OTs Kadyn Proctor and Monroe Freeling (we’ve long noted the Eagles/UGA connects), to the point where they’d trade up if either slides to the late-teens. OTs Blake Miller and Caleb Lomu are nice options if Proctor or Freeling don’t fall. RG Tyler Steen is a free agent after this season, so versatility would be prioritized… Wide receiver has to be in play, assuming AJ Brown gets traded after the draft. The team signed Hollywood Brown and traded for Dontayvian Wicks, but that cannot be considered enough alongside Devonta Smith. Perhaps Denzel Boston, another big-bodied WR like AJ Brown could factor in. This is the range for Omar Cooper Jr. too… Defensively, D-Line should be the priority. DEs Nolan Smith and Arnold Ebiketie are entering contract years. Players like Keldric Faulk and T.J. Parker could be nice development options. 
24. CLEVELAND BROWNS - KC Concepcion (WR - Texas A&M)
  • Considerations: Kadyn Proctor, Monroe Freeling, Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller, Max Iheanachor, Omar Cooper Jr., KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
  • Team Needs:
    • QB, WR, LT, RG, ED
  • Team Analysis: This is an analytically-driven front office that prioritizes youth and drafting premium positions early. Their two biggest needs are left tackle and wide receiver. The latter sports Jerry Jeudy as WR1, Cedric Tillman (contract year) as WR2, and Isaiah Bond in the slot. Yikes. The situation also remains dire at LT, though Cleveland did a good job of retooling the O-Line (on paper) with 4 new starters at LG, C, RG, and RT. Whichever position Cleveland does not take with their first first round pick (6) will guide the selection here. If OT is still needed, Blake Miller, Caleb Lomu, and Max Iheanachor are options. If WR is still needed, Omar Cooper Jr., KC Concepcion, and Denzel Boston are expected to be the top candidates available in the 20s. It is worth noting that Cooper Jr. and Boston are somewhat older prospects (22). NFL Draft analyst Dane Brugler noted that Cleveland really likes S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, even though safety is not a pressing need now. 
25. CHICAGO BEARS - T.J. Parker (ED - Clemson)
  • Considerations: T.J. Parker, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Caleb Lomu, Max Iheanachor, Keldric Faulk, Akheem Mesidor, Kayden McDonald, Colton Hood
  • Team Needs:
    • OT, C, DT, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: GM Poles has a history of targeting traits-heavy players in Rd. 1. Think high RAS (the average score was 3rd-highest last year). He wants players to fit prototypes at certain positions based on their measurables. This should include DE, a big need for the Bears. Anthony Amico noted that TJ Parker is built exactly like the type of defensive ends that DC Dennis Allen has preferred. DEs Keldric Faulk and Akeem Mesidor are other pass rushers who fit the bill. Defensive back is another area of concern, with needs at both corner and especially safety. The team has been heavily linked to S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren. HC Ben Johnson said he and Dennis Allen are specifically looking for “trained killers” on defense. EMW is known for his hard hits and violence. CBs Colton Hood and Chris Johnson Jr. are two physical corners that fit the profile as well. It’s fair to assume that the pendulum has swung to the defensive side of the ball after the team has used substantial resources on offense in the last two drafts. Still, the Bears could use a left tackle of the future, after last year’s starter sustained a significant patellar injury that jeopardizes his 2026 season. The team had a Top-30 visit with OT Caleb Lomu and could be fascinated by the ceiling of the raw but toolsy Max Iheanachor. 
26. *** TRADE *** ARIZONA CARDINALS - Ty Simpson (QB - Alabama)
  • CARDINALS Considerations: Ty Simpson
  • CARDINALS Team Needs:
    • QB, RB, RG, RT, LB 
  • CARDINALS Team Analysis: The Cardinals are heavily rumored to be aggressively targeting QB Ty Simpson. 
  • BILLS Considerations: Malachi Lawrence, T.J. Parker, Kayden McDonald, KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr., Denzel Boston, Akheem Mesidor, CJ Allen, Jacob Rodriguez
  • BILLS Team Needs:
    • LG, ED, DT, LB
  • BILLS Team Analysis: Despite the aggressive trade for DJ Moore, the Bills could use a pass catcher that brings something different to the table. Omar Cooper Jr. and KC Concepcion are legitimate options, while Denzel Boston may remind fans and the scouting dpt. too much of Keon Coleman. Left guard is another vacancy on offense following the loss of consistent David Edwards. This puts Chase Bisontis on the radar as a sleeper here. Despite these offensive holes, the lean here is defense. The Bills hired highly touted Jim Leonhard as their new DC. Leonhard comes from Denver, and he’s implementing a 3-4 base defense here, and Buffalo will need personnel to fit the scheme. Reliable beat writer Joe Buscaglia studied the scheme in Denver and has noted periodically that the priority should be edge rusher over defensive tackle because DTs are used more in a rotation in this system. There is little behind EDs Rousseau and Chubb, who is on the wrong side of 30. This makes a speed rusher like Malachi Lawrence of Cashius Howell a possible ED3. The Bills fortified their secondary during the offseason, but there remains a gaping hole at LB. Wildcards and first-round sleepers CJ Allen and Jacob Rodriguez could help bring young leadership to the team and solidify a position the Bills have lacked lately. 
27. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - Caleb Lomu (OT - Utah)
  • Considerations: KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr., T.J. Parker, Malachi Lawrence, Caleb Lomu, Akheem Mesidor, Cashius Howell, Kayden McDonald, Colton Hood, Chris Johnson Jr.
  • Team Needs:
    • WR, LG, LT, C, ED, DT, LB, S
  • Team Analysis: The 49ers have a handful of needs both on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. WR Brandon Aiyuk will not be on the team next year, and Ricky Pearsall cannot stay healthy. Free agent Jauan Jennings looks to sign elsewhere, prompting the trade for Christian Kirk and the signing of Mike Evans, but that’s not enough. Evans and Kirk are essentially on one-year deals. Consequently, WRs Omar Cooper Jr., KC Concepcion, and Denzel Boston make sense, as well would be good fits in this offense for different reasons. The 49ers best player, LT Trent Williams, is 39 and likely entering his final season. The 49ers need to play for life after Williams, not to mention left guard is wide open, and center Brendel is 35, entering a contract year. This makes LT Caleb Lomu or Max Iheanachor a sensible selection. On defense, the 49ers recorded 6 INTs (31st) and only 20 sacks (32nd). Part of that was due to injuries to Nick Bosa and Mykel Williams, but EDs Keion White and Sam O both have expiring contracts in 2027. Williams is more of an edge setter, so SF needs a speed rusher or pass rush specialist like Malachi Lawrence, Cashius Howell, or Akheem Mesidor. ED T.J. Parker would be a good pick here, too. The team lost two safeties, including Brown (800 snaps) and Pinnock (500 snaps), neither of whom was replaced. Safety is a bigger need than CB. 
28. HOUSTON TEXANS - Blake Miller (OT - Clemson)
  • Considerations: Blake Miller, Max Iheanachor, Peter Woods, Kayden McDonald, Chris Johnson Jr., Colton Hood, Chase Bisontis, Malachi Lawrence … TRADE DOWN: Anthony Hill, Keylan Rutledge, Emmanuel Pregnon, Christen Miller
  • Team Needs:
    • C/G/RT, DT, LB
  • Team Analysis: Houston doesn’t have many glaring needs on paper, so I’m relying on national draft analyst Lance Zierlein, who has always been plugged in with Houston, on his assessment of the team’s top 4 needs. Zierlein mentioned DT, OG, CB, and LB, in that order. He seemed to suggest DT was the most likely option late in Round 1. That’s IF the Texans do not trade out, which they are notorious for doing, and sit in position to do so again (Ty Simpson, anyone?). Linebacker and guard are probably better suited as second round considerations, as the names I’ve heard associated with Houston at those spots – OGs Keylan Rutledge, Emmanuel Pregnon, and Chase Bisontis, and LBs Anthony Hill, CJ Allen, Jacob Rodriguez – are more likely to go in Rd. 2. Perhaps they are options in a trade-down scenario. This makes DTs like Kayden McDonald and Peter Woods more likely picks in Rd. 1. For the Texans, I’m looking for high-character prospects because that’s a big point for HC Demeco Ryans. In addition, GM Caserio likes experience (a lot of college starts) and Big 10 players, making McDonald more attractive despite only starting one year. CBs Chris Johnson and Colton Hood had Top-30 visits with the Texans. HOU has an elite CB duo of Stingley and Lassiter, but Lassiter enters a contract year, and I’m not sure the Texans can pay both lucrative contracts. Plus, they need a CB3 behind them. CB is an underrated need here, as is DE3. I like Malachi Lawrence as a dark horse for this pick as a result. Finally, Houston would likely LOVE OTs Blake Miller and Kadyn Proctor, but it looks like they’d have to move up to land one. Lance Zierlein mentioned WR KC Concepcion as a trade-up candidate, too, and Zierlein denied any Concepcion character red flags. 
29. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - Colton Hood (CB - Tennessee)
  • Considerations: Colton Hood, Chris Johnson Jr., T.J. Parker, Kayden McDonald, Omar Cooper Jr., KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller, Max Iheanachor, Malachi Lawrence
  • Team Needs:
    • WR, RT, ED, DT, LB, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: GM Brett Veach tends to lean toward younger prospects, with 5 of their last 6 first-rounders having been under the age of 22 when drafted. KC also prioritizes meeting with their first picks. KC has met with 5 of their last 6 first selections, with the lone exception being Trent McDuffie, whom Veach later said he didn’t expect to last until KC’s pick that year. Using the Top-30 visits tracker to our advantage, we can hone in on CBs Chris Johnson Jr. and Colton Hood. One should be available at this point, and CB is a major position of need, having lost McDuffie and Jaylen Watson (800 snaps) without adding much. Outside WR remains a need, considering Rashee Rice’s recent legal issues, TE Travis Kelce’s pending retirement next offseason, and the lack of development for Xavier Worthy. According to Todd McShay, Andy Reid, who has always prioritized trench picks, is “hellbent” on fixing the O-Line. Protecting Mahomes makes sense, and right tackle is up on the air after this offseason, seeing as Jaylon Moore enters a contract year and is not expected to be re-signed. This makes Max Iheanachor a good pick. Finally, edge rusher opposite George Karlaftis remains a major concern, opening up the door for guys like T.J. Parker and Malachi Lawrence. 
30. MIAMI DOLPHINS - Chris Johnson Jr. (CB - San Diego St.)
  • Considerations: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Chris Johnson Jr., Colton Hood, Blake Miller, Caleb Lomu, Max Iheanachor, Malachi Lawrence, Denzel Boston
  • Team Needs:
    • WR, RG, RT, LB, CB, S
  • Team Analysis: New GM Eric-Sullivan and HC Hafley come from Green Bay, a front office that prioritized drafting athletes that tested well (9.28 average RAS in Rd. 1 since ’18), and defense. Specifically, the Packers had prototypes and strictly adhered to measurables, to the point that their prospects were deemed “Packers types” in the industry. Green Bay heavily leaned on going defense and offensive linemen in the first round of drafts. Here, the Dolphins desperately need WR, but they also need O-Line and DB. I’m relying on some quotes from GM Sullivan this offseason to help guide this pick. GM Sullivan on defensive backs: Nobody in the secondary “has earned anything. That whole back end is competing for their jobs… I’m going to do everything in my power if there’s one available that’s a stud, I’m going to go get them.” GM Sullivan on offensive line: “I like a lot of pieces on the OL. LT and C. I think there’s going to be competition elsewhere.” GM Sullivan on wide receivers: “It’s a really good wide receiver draft. Some very good players up top; there’s depth and substance to it in the second, third, fourth, rounds.” Together, I interpret these quotes to mean that the Dolphins are targeting O-Line and DB for their first two picks (Miami has Pick 11 too), seeing as the GM readily admitted 3/5 starting spots on the O-line are up for grabs, and the secondary was the league’s worst last season; no real upgrades have been brought in. What the team does at Pick 11 likely dictates the direction here, but I lean O-Line and DB. Defensive backs that come to mind in that are within range and fit Packers’ types are CBs Chris Johnson Jr. and Colton Hood, as well as safety Emmanuel McNeil-Warren. The Dolphins could be in on OT Max Iheanachor or another tackle who slides through the cracks. I cannot emphasize enough how barren the depth chart is at corner and safety, but believe it or not, the WR room is even more desolate. The team’s top four WRs are – somehow – Jalen Tolbert, Tutu Atwell, Malik Washington, and Nick Westbrook-Ikhene. Perhaps Denzel Boston could meet the requirements and add some much-needed size to room. 
31. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - Max Iheanachor (OT - Arizona St.)
  • Considerations: Max Iheanachor, Malachi Lawrence, Kayden McDonald, T.J. Parker, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Zion Young, R Mason Thomas
  • Team Needs:
    • WR, RT, ED
  • Team Analysis: This pick is most likely going to be an edge rusher or a right tackle. At RT, Morgan Moses (35) enters a contract year, but he gives the team flexibility to take a green but high-ceiling prospect like Max Iheanachor. This would allow the raw RT to sit and develop for a year before taking over as a bookend tackle for Drake Maye next year. I believe the team is high on him. A speed rusher is another likely outcome here; T.J. Parker and Malachi Lawrence are most in range, but there are a few consensus second round EDs that the Pats may like. I’m reluctant to mock a WR here because the expectation is that NE will trade for WR AJ Brown after June 1, 2026. Otherwise, KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston would be more likely. 
32. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - Kayden McDonald (DT - OSU)
  • Considerations: Keldric Faulk, Kayden McDonald, Malachi Lawrence, Jermod McCoy, Colton Hood, Chris Johnson Jr., Jadarian Price, Cashius Howell, T.J. Parker, Treydan Stukes
  • Team Needs:
    • RB, ED, CB
  • Team Analysis: Two key players lost to free agency were ED Boye Mafe and CB Tariq Woolen. Neither has been replaced. This brings up ED options like Keldric Faulk, T.J. Parker, Malachi Lawrence, and Cashius Howell. Howell will probably go the latest of the trio, but he’s the best personality fit in Seattle. At DB, the team should be really high on Chris Johnson Jr. and Colton Hood, as well as safety Treydan Stukes. Stukes is more of a trade-down play in all likelihood, but he’s someone who reliable beat writer Rob Staton vouched for, even at 32. The Seahawks lost Kenneth Walker to FA, and talented backup Zach Charbonnet is recovering from a significant ACL injury; Charbonnet is not expected to return until November. This leaves Seattle with only Emanuel Wilson and George Holani in the RB room. It’s the need, plus the drop off in RB talent after Jadarian Price, that makes Price a viable candidate at 32, despite experts saying he’s a second-round talent. GM Schneider has not shied away from drafting RBs high; I could see it. IN addition, Rob Staton brings up DT Kayden McDonald as a name to watch. The Seahawks don’t have an immediate need at DT, but current starter Jarran Reed is 33. Having just won the Super Bowl, I could also see the Seahawks taking a risk on CB Jermod McCoy, who was red flagged medically by several teams due to ACL/knee longevity concerns. Some pundits expect McCoy’s slide to last until the second round, but he’ll be a tempting option for Seattle, a team coached by a defensive-minded guru that needs to replace Woolen at CB. 
—
First Five Out:
  1. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (S – Toledo)
  2. Jermod McCoy (CB – Tennessee)
  3. Denzel Boston (WR – Washington)
  4. Chase Bisontis (OG – Texas A&M)
  5.  

– Nick Guarisco (@FantasyLawGuy)

– Click My Mock Draft History to view how my mocks have stacked up against experts in the industry! No one in the industry (that I’m aware of) has made more correct team matches over the last 7 years.

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