F.L.G. 2024 NFL Mock Draft

Welcome to the 2024 edition of my annual Fantasy Law Guy NFL Mock Draft.

Last year’s version hit on eight team-player matches and identified 28/32 first rounders, yet it failed to match the success of previous years. NFLMockDraftDatabase.com graded my 2023 F.L.G. NFL Mock Draft as the 92nd most accurate mock among 1,384 expert mock drafts. 

This result broke a streak of four consecutive years of my final mock draft finishing inside the Top 20 among expert mocks, per NFLMockDraftDatabase.com. 

My 2022 F.L.G. NFL Mock Draft ranked 19th/1,379 experts:
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2022/final-scores

My 2021 F.L.G. NFL Mock Draft ranked 2nd/1,312 experts:
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2021/final-scores

My 2020 B.E.S.T. NFL Mock Draft ranked 6th/501 experts: 
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2020/final-scores

My 2019 B.E.S.T. NFL Mock Draft ranked 1st/477 experts: 
https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/mock-drafts/2019

You can view my entire 9-year Mock Draft History, links to my previous mocks, and how those mocks compare to experts in the industry by scrolling down through the charts HERE. 

(NOTE: I created FantasyLawGuy.com in 2020-21, switching over from BigEasySportsTalk.com. My Mock Drafts started becoming verified and scored by NFLMockDraftDatabase in 2019, and now I also post my Final Mock Draft on ActionNetwork.com).

As always, one primary objective for this exercise is to MINIMIZE THE SURPRISES on draft night for readers. In other words, the fewer times you say “wow I did not see that coming!” after reading this mock, the better I feel I did my job. Accordingly, my 2023 Final Mock Draft listed the correct pick as an option for that team on 27/32 “Short Lists.” 

IMPORTANT NOTE: This Mock Draft is an evolving mock draft that will be updated almost daily up until the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 25, 2024! 

This method is more efficient and favorable to readers because news and information are constantly being gathered throughout the draft process, affecting predictions. Especially considering the speed at which the betting market shifts, a fluid document that updates regularly is far more actionable than posting a separate mock draft each week. 

Thorough (extremely intense and verbose) explanations for each pick will be added here leading up to the draft. See last year’s 2023 F.L.G. Mock Draft on this site, for example, for a view of the finished product.

Until then, like last year, I’ll post several mock drafts, including my Final Mock Draft, on ActionNetwork.com for verifiability.

I’m also on Twitter @FantasyLawGuy and would love to hear your takes on the draft! 

(Last Updated: 4/14/2024)


Round 1


1. CHICAGO BEARS - CALEB WILLIAMS (QB - USC)
  • Short List: Caleb Williams
  • Team Needs: QB, WR, DE, DT
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR
2. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS - JAYDEN DANIELS (QB - LSU)
  • Short List: Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, J.J. McCarthy
  • Team Needs: QB, LT, DE, CB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
3. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - DRAKE MAYE (QB - UNC)
  • Short List: Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, J.J. McCarthy
  • Team Needs: QB, WR, LT, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
4. ARIZONA CARDINALS - MARVIN HARRISON JR. (WR - OSU)
  • Short List: Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers
  • Team Needs: WR, CB, DE, LG
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
5. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS - JOE ALT (OT - NOTRE DAME)
  • Short List: Marvin Harrison Jr., Joe Alt, Malik Nabers, Trade Down: Taliese Fuaga, JC Latham
  • Team Needs: CB, WR, DT, RT
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
6. NEW YORK GIANTS - J.J. MCCARTHY (QB - MICHIGAN)
  • Short List: Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, J.J. McCarthy, Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze
  • Team Needs: QB, WR, CB, LG, DT
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
7. TENNESSEE TITANS - MALIK NABERS (WR - LSU)
  • Short List: Malik Nabers, Joe Alt, Rome Odunze, Olu Fashanu
  • Team Needs: OT, CB, DL, WR
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 

8. ATLANTA FALCONS - DALLAS TURNER (DE - ALABAMA)

  • Short List: Quinyon Mitchell, Dallas Turner, Laiatu Latu, Jared Verse, Terrion Arnold
  • Team Needs: DE, CB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
9. CHICAGO BEARS - ROME ODUNZE (WR - WASHINGTON)
  • Short List: Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze, Joe Alt, Taliese Fuaga, Dallas Turner, Jared Verse, Laiatu Latu
  • Team NeedsQB, WR, DE, DT
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
10. NEW YORK JETS - TALIESE FUAGA (OREGON ST.)
  • Short List: Rome Odunze, Joe Alt, Brock Bowers, Taliese Fuaga
  • Team Needs: LT, WR
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR:  
11. MINNESOTA VIKINGS - QUINYON MITCHELL (CB - TOLEDO)
  • Short List: TRADE UP: Drake Maye, TRADE UP: J.J. McCarthy, Dallas Turner, Jared Verse 
  • Team Needs: QB, CB, DL
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
12. DENVER BRONCOS - BROCK BOWERS (TE - UGA)
  • Short List: Quinyon Mitchell, Terrion Arnold, Brock Bowers, Dallas Turner, Jared Verse, TRADE DOWN: Bo Nix
  • Team Needs: QB, DE, CB, TE, C
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
13. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS - TERRION ARNOLD (CB - ALABAMA)
  • Short List: Taliese Fuaga, Quinyon Mitchell, Terrion Arnold, Michael Penix Jr. (trade down)
  • Team Needs: QB, RT, RG, DT, CB, RB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
14. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - OLU FASHANU (PENN ST.) 
  • Short List: Jared Verse, Amarius Mims, JC Latham, Olu Fashanu
  • Team Needs: LT, DE, LG, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
15. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - BRIAN THOMAS JR. (WR - LSU)
  • Short List: Quinyon Mitchell, Terrion Arnold, Brock Bowers, Brian Thomas Jr.
  • Team Needs: CB, WR, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
16. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - TROY FAUTANU (OT - WASHINGTON)
  • Short List: Troy Fautanu, JC Latham, Olu Fashanu
  • Team Needs: OG, LB, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
17. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS - AMARIUS MIMS (OT - UGA)
  • Short List: Quinyon Mitchell, Terrion Arnold, Cooper DeJean, Amarius Mims
  • Team Needs: CB, WR, DE
  • Considerations:
  • TL;DR: 
18. CINCINNATI BENGALS - JC LATHAM (OT - ALABAMA)
  • Short List: JC Latham, Amarius Mims, Byron Murphy II, Quinyon Mitchell, Terrion Arnold
  • Team Needs: RT, WR, DT, CB
  • Considerations:
  • TL;DR: 
19. LOS ANGELES RAMS - LAIATU LATU (DE - UCLA)
  • Short List: Byron Murphy II, Laiatu Latu
  • Team Needs: DL, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 

20. PITTSBURGH STEELERS - COOPER DEJEAN (CB - IOWA)

  • Short List: Cooper DeJean, Olu Fashanu, JC Latham, Troy Fautanu, Amarius Mims
  • Team Needs: QB, CB, OL, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
21. MIAMI DOLPHINS - JARED VERSE (DE - FSU)
  • Short List: Brian Thomas, Graham Barton
  • Team Needs: OG, CB, WR, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
22. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES - GRAHAM BARTON (OG - DUKE)
  • Short List: Cooper DeJean
  • Team Needs: CB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
23. MINNESOTA VIKINGS - BYRON MURPHY II (DT - TEXAS)
  • Short List: 
  • Team Needs: QB, CB, DL
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
24. DALLAS COWBOYS - ADONDAI MITCHELL (WR - TEXAS)
  • Short List: Tyler Guyton, Jordan Morgan, Edgerrin Cooper
  • Team Needs: LT, CB, C, RB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
25. GREEN BAY PACKERS - TYLER GUYTON (OT - OKLAHOMA)
  • Short List: Cooper DeJean, Graham Barton
  • Team Needs: RG, CB, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
26. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS - CHOP ROBINSON (DE - PENN. ST.)
  • Short List: Jackson Powers-Johnson
  • Team Needs: OG, CB, DE, LB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
27. ARIZONA CARDINALS - KOOL-AID MCKINSTRY (CB - ALABAMA)
  • Short List: 
  • Team NeedsWR, CB, DE, LG
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
28. BUFFALO BILLS - XAVIER WORTHY (WR - TEXAS)
  • Short List: 
  • Team NeedsDE, WR, C, S
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
29. DETROIT LIONS - JACKSON POWERS-JOHNSON (OG - OREGON)
  • Short List: Graham Barton, Jackson Powers-Johnson, Zach Frazier
  • Team Needs: OG, DL
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
30. BALTIMORE RAVENS - JORDAN MORGAN (OT - ARIZONA)
  • Short List: Tyler Guyton, Jordan Morgan
  • Team Needs: OG, RT, CB, DE, WR
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
31. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS - DARIUS ROBINSON (DE - MISSOURI)
  • Short List: Jordan Morgan
  • Team Needs: CB, DT, OG
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 
32. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS - KINGSLEY SUAMATAIA (OT - BYU)
  • Short List: 
  • Team Needs: LT, WR, DT, DB
  • Considerations
  • TL;DR: 

Possible First-Round Selections:
  1. CB Nate Wiggins (Clemson)
  2. CB Ennis Rakestraw (Missouri)
  3. DT Jer’Zhan Newton (Illinois)
  4. QB Michael Penix Jr. (Washington)
  5. QB Bo Nix (Oregon)
  6. Edgerrin Cooper (LB – Texas A&M)
    •                                                                      

 – Nick Guarisco (@FantasyLawGuy)

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